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Will black voters rally around the Democrats?

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Can it be? Polls are showing black voters to be no less excited about the upcoming midterm elections than they were two years ago during the heyday of Obamamania.

Right. I’ll believe that when I see it.

So far, I’m not seeing it. Although President Barack Obama remains wildly popular among African Americans, the frustrating realities of governing during a sluggish economic recovery have cooled some of the earlier frenzy, even in his base of supporters. The posters and bumper stickers have faded. The candidate of “hope” has run up against the party of “nope.”

And in midterm elections, turnout tends to be higher among older, whiter and more conservative voters — three groups that have tended to give Democrats the least support in recent decades.

Voter enthusiasm is like marbles in a cigar box, always rolling around from one end to the other, and this year’s polls show almost all of the marbles rolling to the right — particularly the tea party right, which is the ideological and demographic opposite of the African American left.

Yet a closer look at the polls has given some analysts ample evidence of a black voter groundswell that most news media have overlooked.

For example, a new poll by the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Harvard University and the Washington Post found 80 percent of black Democrats saying they are “as interested” or “more interested” in the midterms than they were in 2008.

“Black voters turn out when they think they can make a difference,” says David Bositis, who authored the report. “This is one of those years.”

But let Republicans share the price in political capital of producing an agenda to cut spending and reduce taxes — without enraging defenders of Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and the military.

After benefitting from anti-Obama backlash, his opposition might as well share the burden of governing — and the blame.


Written by demon53

October 22, 2010 at 11:58 am

Posted in Uncategorized

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